The Hobbit Draft Night — expected value
The Hobbit
· card prices as of 2026-09-21
| Market | Gross EV | ≥ $0.50 floor | ≥ $1 floor | Box price | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US (USD) | $120.52 | $87.91 | $85.92 | $133.01 | 0.65x |
| EU (EUR) | €99.74 | — | €81.35 | €124.83 | 0.65x |
What is counted:
12x The Hobbit Play Booster Pack + 1x The Hobbit Collector Booster Pack ($120.52).
Expected value is the market value of the cards the sealed product contains, at each
card's pull rate. A floor counts only cards at or above that value; cheaper cards
count as zero. Tokens, accessories and box toppers are not counted.
Most valuable cards in The Hobbit Draft Night
Ranked by current US market price. Pull rate is the expected number of copies per sealed product.
FOIL
Smaug the Magnificent
$22,250.00 0.017% chance
FOIL
Mox Amber
$605.29 0.311% chance
FOIL
The One Ring
$603.00 0.311% chance
FOIL
Gleaming Splendor
$567.06 0.311% chance
FOIL
Smaug the Magnificent
$285.46 0.311% chance
FOIL
Arcane Signet
$264.07 0.311% chance
Mox Amber
$263.02 0.581% chance
FOIL
Gandalf, Goblins' Bane // Flameshape
$225.80 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart
$224.26 0.311% chance
FOIL
Galadriel, Light of Valinor
$199.96 0.311% chance
FOIL
Orcish Bowmasters
$193.53 0.311% chance
The One Ring
$147.75 0.581% chance
FOIL
Bard, King of Dale
$147.25 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Queen of Dale
$146.46 0.311% chance
FOIL
Gleaming Splendor
$143.67 0.727% chance
FOIL
Sauron, the Dark Lord
$140.00 0.311% chance
FOIL
Gollum, Riddle Master
$139.48 0.311% chance
FOIL
Thorin, Mountain-king
$137.47 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Reaver Cleaver
$105.19 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart
$98.07 0.311% chance
FOIL
Galadriel's Dismissal
$97.73 0.311% chance
FOIL
Bilbo, Thief in the Night
$97.50 0.311% chance
FOIL
Smaug, Wicked Worm
$96.99 0.621% chance
FOIL
Thranduil, the Elvenking
$94.42 0.621% chance
Smaug the Magnificent
$22,250.00 0.017% chance
FOIL
Mox Amber
$605.29 0.311% chance
FOIL
The One Ring
$603.00 0.311% chance
FOIL
Gleaming Splendor
$567.06 0.311% chance
FOIL
Smaug the Magnificent
$285.46 0.311% chance
FOIL
Arcane Signet
$264.07 0.311% chance
Mox Amber
$263.02 0.581% chance
FOIL
Gandalf, Goblins' Bane // Flameshape
$225.80 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart
$224.26 0.311% chance
FOIL
Galadriel, Light of Valinor
$199.96 0.311% chance
FOIL
Orcish Bowmasters
$193.53 0.311% chance
The One Ring
$147.75 0.581% chance
FOIL
Bard, King of Dale
$147.25 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Queen of Dale
$146.46 0.311% chance
FOIL
Gleaming Splendor
$143.67 0.727% chance
FOIL
Sauron, the Dark Lord
$140.00 0.311% chance
FOIL
Gollum, Riddle Master
$139.48 0.311% chance
FOIL
Thorin, Mountain-king
$137.47 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Reaver Cleaver
$105.19 0.311% chance
FOIL
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart
$98.07 0.311% chance
FOIL
Galadriel's Dismissal
$97.73 0.311% chance
FOIL
Bilbo, Thief in the Night
$97.50 0.311% chance
FOIL
Smaug, Wicked Worm
$96.99 0.621% chance
FOIL
Thranduil, the Elvenking
$94.42 0.621% chance
EV LAB The Hobbit Draft Night
applies to this tab only
$0.00
Simulation using the engine's pull-rate model and current market prices — every box is random; results are informational only, not a prediction.
Box total paused — click anywhere to continue
continues on its own in a moment
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Expected value is one descriptive measure. Pro adds the engine's score and rating, market signals, liquidity and the daily movement across every product. Create a free account · Explore Pro
informational rankings only — not investment, financial, or purchasing advice.
Card prices change daily and simulated results are random; nothing here describes
what any product may be worth in future.